Invalid characterset or character set not supported The final Playoff and Seeding Preview





The final Playoff and Seeding Preview
August 02, 2009

IMPORTANT IMPORTANT BULLETIN: I may post an ELO rated(chess-style) list of the contestants later, if anyone is interested. Basically, it pretends a vote is like a win in chess. I'm pleased I was able to write the program so quickly, and I'd love to show off, but then, people at the bottom end might not be too thrilled. We'll see. This all should be fun, after all.

Well, nobody was out yet last week, and the playoff teams are all decided this week. We'd have seen more drama if Team Felix would beat Team EmP and Team Will would beat Team Overdrive. If either had won, there'd still be something to fight for. The two sweeps really shook up the tiebreak.

There's still seeding to fight for, so I'll look at this, but this one'll be nice and abbreviated. I think I finally weeded out the errors that I had, just in time for the season to end. Last Week I gave Suskie an extra vote and subtracted one from someone else, and the Reviewing Gods struck us down with some close decisions. COINCIDENCE I THINK NOT?!?!


b
d
e
f
j
o
s
w
W/L
Oppo
Match
Pts
bluberry
X1W+4L=2W-3W+7-6W-5L+4-25-11232

dagoss
1L-X5L+3L+6L-2L-7+4W=1-54-2515

EmP
4W=5W-X6W+7-3L+2L-1W+4-22-41230

Felix
2L+3W-6L-X5W+4L=1L-7+2-42-4623

Janus
3L-6W+7+5L-X1W+4L=2L-2-44-2828

Overdrive
7+2W+3W-4W=1L-X5W+6W-5-14-21130

Suskie
6L+7-2W+1W+4W=5L-X3W-4-21-51135

will
5W-4L=1L-7-2W+6L+3L+X2-42-4723

WL=win/loss +=home = = neutral -=road

PLAYOFF SEEDING:

An individual match can impact playoff seeding at this point, even if the Fab Four are set.

BLUBERRY can almost lock up a #1 seed with a win, after his team's playoffs seemed in jeopardy a few weeks ago. He needs to win at least as many individual matches as both EmP and Suskie. Also, if he wins 2-1 2-1 2-1 and EmP wins 3-0 3-0 3-0, then EmP manages the #1 seed.

EMP cleared up a lot with that sweep, didn't he? A loss could drop him to 4th or could keep him in 2nd. He moves ahead of Overdrive if he wins and Overdrive loses. Then I've explained the Bluberry tiebreaks. EmP vs Suskie works as follows if they have the same result: Suskie wins more individual matches, Suskie wins tiebreaks. If not, EmP does.

OVERDRIVE needs to win to be the #1 seed, but you probably knew that. If he loses, he drops to 2nd and has a good chance of sliding to 5th or 4th--the best he can do is 12 individual wins and 35 votes. He'll be behind Bluberry, who'd have 14 individual wins. If EmP doesn't get swept, Overdrive drops another notch. Suskie winning would drop him again. No time for overconfidence.

SUSKIE's the 4th seed right now but a win assures him of 3rd, because one of Bluberry or Overdrive must lose next week, even if everyone there writes his review of the year. Suskie wins the tiebreaks then. He'll have the wins over Overdrive if Overdrive loses. He'll have the votes against Bluberry in case of a tie, too. A loss and he is probably in 4th, though if he wins an individual match and Bluberry/EmP does not, he'll move up. Losing a sweep sucked, but the losses were all 1-2 and that turned out to be worth something. If only it'd been 0-3 1-2 2-1, he'd have the tiebreak edge on EmP, as with similar results he would have had the points edge. Now Suskie needs to win an individual match more than EmP to get ahead of him.

PRIDE SEEDING:

Well, why not have fun here? We saw some good reviews from eliminated teams last round.

DAGOSS needs a win to jump above eighth. Even then, Janus has frozen him out on tiebreaks. Will vs Felix means fifth is not possible. So Eighth is likely, seventh possible, sixth remotely possible. If he gets two more individual wins than Felix, he jumps another place. He needs to win 3-0 8-1 to tie Will, assuming Will goes 0-3 0-9. So Dagoss's best hope is Will in a blowout.

FELIX is behind Janus by two wins in the tiebreaks right now. Beating Will gives Felix more votes and sixth place. But he needs Janus to lose for fifth. A win freezes out Dagoss.

JANUS can lock up fifth with a win. Unless he wins 2-1 2-1 0-3 and Will wins 3-0 3-0 3-0. A loss drops him to a tie for sixth at worst--IF will loses 1-2 1-2 3-0 AND Janus loses 0-3 0-3 0-3. How's that next tiebreak go again, folks?

WILL can freeze out Dagoss with a win, as well as Felix. But probably not Janus, unless Janus loses. A loss and Will could tumble below Dagoss, or Felix. He probably can't catch Janus.

Most recent blog posts from Andrew Schultz...

Feedback
bluberry bluberry - August 02, 2009 (02:19 PM)
some of your oppos sum to 10, not 6. bad aschultz!
aschultz aschultz - August 02, 2009 (02:46 PM)
Heh, well, anyone who can't figure out that column deserves to lose heinously, because it's easy to figure out.

Easy enough that I should've deleted it.

Now go beat Overdrive. But only 2 matches to 1.
Suskie Suskie - August 02, 2009 (03:14 PM)
Let me see if I have this right. In order for us to get the top seed, we need to win, Boo's team needs to win (but not by much) and EmP needs to lose.

Okay. I know who I'm rooting for.
aschultz aschultz - August 02, 2009 (03:56 PM)
Dang if I didn't leave out the simple scenario for our team winning all the playoff seeding marbles.

We need Boo to win 2-1. We need to win 3-0. We need EmP not to sweep.

eXTReMe Tracker
© 1998-2024 HonestGamers
None of the material contained within this site may be reproduced in any conceivable fashion without permission from the author(s) of said material. This site is not sponsored or endorsed by Nintendo, Sega, Sony, Microsoft, or any other such party. Opinions expressed on this site do not necessarily represent the opinion of site staff or sponsors.